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SURE-MATCH1X2 DAILY FREE SINGLE SOCCER TIP 1X2 25 11 2016
Borussia Dortmund are back in third place after a 3-0 win at home to strugglers Wolfsburg – their biggest win so far in 2017. Thomas Tuchel’s side are another whose performances at home have propelled them up the table this season, but questions need to be answered regarding their “unacceptable” away form. Dortmund have won just three of their 11 matches on the road this season (W3 D4 L4) and even lost 2-1 to bottom of the table Darmstadt 98 last time out on the road.
Dortmund are favourites here at 8/15, but we’re not too confident backing the BVB at such a short price, given their shaky away performances – Dortmund have won just one of their last six on the road (W1 D3 L2). However, we feel that “both teams to score” at 4/6 should be a safe bet here for the following reasons: Dortmund’s weakness in away matches has not been in their inability to score – Dortmund hold one of the highest goals scored per away match average in the Bundesliga (1.9 goals/match) and have not failed to score in any of their last eight on the road. Instead, the BVB’s problems have stemmed from lack of true defensive consistency. Mistakes and poor defending have let them down repeatedly and Borussia Dortmund have failed to keep a clean sheet all season on the road. Consequently, both teams to score has landed in a huge 82% of their away matches. Meanwhile, Freiburg’s strong home form has seen them score at least one goal in 90% of their matches, including against reigning champions Bayern Munich – the Bundesliga’s best defense.
Based on current form alone, Freiburg are actually out-performing the visitors. However, Freiburg have shown a tendency to lose against the Bundesliga’s best sides. Freiburg lost to both RB Leipzig (2nd) and Bayern Munich (1st) at home and Borussia Dortmund are no doubt of a similar quality if they are able to shake the monkey off their back. As such, we feel that a 2-1 Dortmund win at 7/1 offers some decent value to see the BVB return to winning ways.
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SURE-MATCH1X2 DAILY FREE SINGLE SOCCER TIP 1X2 25 11 2016
Title-chasing Nice can put pressure on both Monaco and PSG by getting 3 points from their meeting with Montpellier this Friday night. The home side, having lost just 2 league games this season, will be in confident mood, having won 2 and drawn 1 of their last 3 matches since being beaten 3-0 at Monaco. Monaco currently top the table and have a 3 point cushion between themselves, PSG and Nice. Nice do however have a vastly inferior goal difference to their 2 rivals and this may become more of a factor towards the end of the season.
Nice have had a tight defence which has seen them concede just 20 from 25 matches, but the form of strikers Alassane Plea and Mario Balotelli, who have 11 and 9 goals each, has seen them able to maintain a real challenge for silverware. Both strikers will need to continue their goal-scoring runs if Nice are to have any chance of upsetting the odds this May.
Montpellier meanwhile have been in indifferent form since the return to action from the winter break. although they have managed to win their last 2 games, a 2-1 win over top 5 side St Etienne which followed a 3-0 victory at Nancy. Goals have not been a problem with Montpellier, scoring 38 times from their 25 matches this season, but they have won only 8 times so far. Key to their solid form has been striker Steve Mounie, who has now scored 10 goals for the side. They should be safe from relegation, already on 32 points, but a minimum of a couple of wins in their next 5 games should make that a certainty.
We expect Nice to keep a clean sheet in this game, so back them to do so at odds of 13/8 with bet365.
For our correct score prediction we predict a 2-0 win for Nice, which is at odds of 8/1 also with bet365.
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